Betting pick: Josh Jacobs undervalued after Micah Parsons trade, DraftKings odds suggest opportunity
With the Packers upgraded by the Parsons trade, one betting writer singles out Jacobs' rushing touchdown markets as a mispriced futures wager
A leading set of 2025 NFL player-prop recommendations highlights Josh Jacobs as an undervalued futures play after the Green Bay Packers acquired linebacker Micah Parsons, a development that shifted betting markets in the NFC North.
The New York Post piece singles out two specific wagers: Jacobs to score 15 or more regular-season rushing touchdowns at +550 with DraftKings and Jacobs to lead the NFL in rushing touchdowns at 20/1 with BetRivers. The story said those lines have not meaningfully moved since the Parsons trade, creating a perceived market inefficiency for bettors building a futures portfolio ahead of the 2025 season.
The analysis argues the Packers figure to win more often than they did a year ago — when quarterback Jordan Love played through a leg injury and the team underperformed expectations — and that increased offensive success would create more touchdown opportunities for Jacobs. The recommendation notes that bookmakers have not sufficiently adjusted Jacobs’ touchdown markets in response to Green Bay’s offseason roster upgrade.
The article frames these selections as part of a wider approach to preseason betting, noting that thousands of wagering options are available and that the writer narrowed them to a handful of under-the-radar plays. It emphasizes futures and player-prop markets as areas where bettors can find value before lines tighten as the season approaches.
Bookmakers typically price futures based on a combination of team outlook, projected usage and market action. Trades that alter a team’s roster, particularly on defense or at a high-impact position, can change game scripts and the opportunities available to offensive players. In this instance, the acquisition of Parsons is presented as likely to improve the Packers’ defensive profile and, indirectly, their offensive outputs by increasing the team’s chance to control games.
Betting markets are fluid and odds quoted in the recommendation were current at publication. Bettors should confirm current lines and consider team injuries, depth-chart changes and usage trends that develop in training camp and preseason games. The Post’s list is one of several preseason betting guides aimed at identifying mispriced futures before market movement accelerates with the regular season kickoff.
The National Football League’s schedule, injuries and in-season adjustments frequently reshape betting landscapes, and sportsbooks adjust lines in response to both new information and betting volume. The selection of Jacobs is presented as a targeted play within that context: a specific player-prop market that the writer believes has not yet reflected offseason developments and therefore may offer longer-term value for bettors ahead of Week 1.